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02/19/2012 - Portland, OR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nicolas Batum led all scorers with 22 points as Portland cruised to a 97-77 victory over the Atlanta Hawks at Rose Garden on Saturday.
LeMarcus Aldridge recorded a double-double with 19 points and 10 rebounds in his first game back after missing two straight with a sprained left ankle. Raymond Felton added 14 points and eight assists as Portland has now won two of its last three.
Joe Johnson scored 19 points and Willie Green netted 17 off the bench for the Hawks, who have lost three of their last four.
Portland trailed 13-11 early on but the Trail Blazers used a 12-2 run in the first quarter to jump out to a 33-25 lead after 12 minutes.
Portland would never trail again in the contest.
Atlanta would get as close as five on a Willie Green trey to start the second but Portland scored seven of the next eight points to take a 40-29 lead.
The Trail Blazers would lead by double-digits for the remainder of the game as they took a 52-37 advantage into the locker room.
A Felton three pressed the lead to 19 as Portland led by double-digits throughout the third to take a 72-56 lead into the final stanza.
In the fourth, Aldridge knocked down a turnaround jumper to give Portland a 22-point lead, its largest, with just over four minutes remaining.
The Blazers dominated the glass, outrebounding the Hawks 50-27, including 15 offensive boards, which led to 18 second chance points for the Trail Blazers.
"I thought we got in a good rhythm, we made our shots, and we stopped those guys," said Portland head coach Nate McMillan. "We mixed in some zone tonight and we continued to make shots. We continued to defend. In the fourth quarter we did the same thing. Whenever they made a big shot, we responded."
Game Notes
Portland will start a tough back-to-back when it visits the Lakers on Monday and host the Spurs on Tuesday...Atlanta will travel to Chicago on Monday before wrapping up a five-game road trip in New York on Wednesday...Portland shot 40.9 percent from long range while Atlanta shot just 25.9 percent.
<< Michigan beats Ohio State in Big Ten tilt
Ann Arbor, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Trey Burke and No. 17 Michigan got their
revenge.
Burke scored 17 points and the Wolverines avenged an earlier loss to their
heated rival with a 56-51 victory over No. 6 Ohio State on Saturday.
Ti
<< Vrbata lifts Coyotes over Stars in OT
Glendale, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Radim Vrbata scored 1:15 into overtime to lift
the Phoenix Coyotes over the Dallas Stars, 2-1.
Mikkel Boedker lit the lamp in regulation for the Coyotes, who extended their
season-high point streak to eight
<< Busch edges Stewart in wild Bud Shootout at Daytona
Daytona Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - In what turned out to be a frantic night
of racing at Daytona International Speedway, Kyle Busch bounced back from two
near wrecks and then beat reigning Sprint Cup Series champion Tony Stewart to
the fin
<< Baylor edges Texas Tech to remain undefeated
Waco, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brittney Griner filled the stat sheet with 18
points, 14 rebounds, six blocks and five assists as No. 1 Baylor escaped with
a 56-51 decision over Texas Tech to remain the nation's lone undefeated team.
Desti
Raonic returns to SAP Open final >>
San Jose, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Defending champion Milos Raonic made it back
to the final of the $531,000 SAP Open with a straight-set win over American
Ryan Harrison on Saturday.
The third-seeded Canadian will face Denis Istomin of
Wright claims narrow win in New Zealand >>
Christchurch, New Zealand (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Australian Lindsey Wright carded
her second straight four-under 68 Sunday to earn a one-stroke win at the ISPS
Handa New Zealand Women's Open.
Wright, who was one of six players tied for the le
Paddison wins Victorian PGA by one >>
Victoria, Australia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Gareth Paddison struggled to a three-
over 74 in the final round Sunday, but held on for a one-shot win at the
Victorian PGA Championship.
Paddison, who played the final nine holes in six-ov
Tseng holds off Miyazato to repeat in Thailand >>
Chonburi, Thailand (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Yani Tseng birdied the final two holes
Sunday to fend off Ai Miyazato and win the Honda LPGA Thailand.
In a battle of the last two winners of this event, Tseng fired a six-under 66
to repeat as champion.
In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.
Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).
If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).
Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.
New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)
In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:
There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.
The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and online football betting thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:
Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots
Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.
Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:
Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21
The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.
Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.
Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).
Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.
And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.
To visit this internet sportsbook go to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting and World Series odds.
Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com
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